Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Can earnings save this market? | Morning News

JANUARY 20, 2016
US futures getting hit hard as the continued selloff in Asia and falling oil prices trigger a flight from risky assets.  Overnight, crude futures got slammed again as US oil falls to its lowest level since Sept 2003 on continued worries over a global glut.

NEWS:

  • BHP: cuts FY16 iron ore guidance
  • TASR: announces multiple orders of its next generation smart weapons
  • THS: files to sell $750M in common stock
  • SYN: announces that their drug SYN-010 for IBS-C was successful in second mid-stage study


THE ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

  • 7AM: MBA Mortgage Applications
  • 8:30AM: Consumer Price Index
  • 8:30AM: Housing Starts
  • 8:55AM: Redbook Chain Store Sales

SOME NOTABLE EARNINGS REPORTED AFTER THE CLOSE YESTERDAY:

  • WWD: FQ1 EPS of $0.56 beats by $0.05: revenue of $445M misses by $7.81M: revenue -8.7% y/y
  • CREE: FQ2 EPS of $0.30 beats by $0.06: revenue of $435.8M beats by $1.47M: revenue +5.5% y/y
  • IBM: Q4 EPS of $4.84 beats by $0.03: revenue of $22.06B beats by $20M: revenue -8.5% y/y: soft guidance: guidesFY16 operating EPS at least $13.50, consensus $15.00
  • NFLX: Q4 EPS of $0.07 beats by $0.05: revenue of $1.82B misses by $10M: revenue +23.0% y/y: 1.56M net subscribers vs consensus 1.37M:
  • IBKR: Q4 EPS of $0.25 misses by $0.01: revenue of $271M misses by $56.65M: revenue +30.2% y/y
  • AMD: Q4 EPS of -$0.10 in-line: revenue of $958M beats by $3.2M: revenue -22.7% y/y

SOME NOTABLE EARNINGS REPORTED BEFORE THE OPENING TODAY:

  • AMTD: Q4 EPS of $0.39 beats by $0.03: revenue of $812M in-line: revenue -0.9% y/y
  • ASML: Q4 EPS of €0.68 misses by €0.03: revenue of €1.43B misses by €160M: revenue -4.0% y/y
  • EAT: FQ2 EPS of $0.78 beats by $0.03: revenue of $788.61 misses by $10.28M: revenue +6.2% y/y
  • GS: Q4 EPS of $4.68 beats by $1.14: revenue of $7.27B beats by $200M: revenue -5.5% y/y
  • NTRS: Q4 EPS of $0.99 beats by $0.08: revenue of $1.16B in-line: revenue +2.7% y/y
  • TEL: FQ1 EPS of $0.84 beats by $0.08: revenue of $2.83B beats by $30M: revenue -7.2% y/y: guides FY16 adjusted EPS $3.80-4.20 vs consensus $3.95 

SOME NOTABLE EARNINGS TO BE REPORTED AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:
  • FFIV, KMI, LOGI, PTC, RJF, SLM, XLNX, BGG
ANALYSTS' RATINGS CHANGES:

UPGRADES:

  • SANM: upgrade: underperform to sector perform: RBC Capital: $18
  • CMA: upgrade: market perform to outperform: FBR Capital:$48
  • SHW: upgrade: neutral to buy: Goldman
  • VOYA: upgrade: neutral to buy: BofA/Merrill: $41
  • BIN: upgrade: underweight to overweight: Barclays: $27
  • WFC: upgrade: neutral to positive: Susquehanna: $56
  • LEN: upgrade: neutral to positive: Susquehanna: $53
  • GCO: upgrade: neutral to overweight: Piper Jaffray: $65
  • SCM: upgrade: neutral to outperform: Barid: pt cut from $12 to $11
  • ANTM: upgrade: neutral to buy: Guggenheim: pt raised from $160 to $168 
  • BSFT: upgrade: market perform to outperform: Wells Fargo: pt range $38-42

DOWNGRADES:

  • RKUS: downgrade: buy to neutral: Guggenheim
  • CUDA: downgrade: buy to neutral: Guggenheim
  • UNVR: downgrade: buy to neutral: Goldman
  • PRU: downgrade: buy to neutral: BofA/Merrill: $85
  • PH: downgrade: buy to hold: Jefferies: pt cut from $115 to $95
  • TKR: downgrade: buy to hold: Jefferies: pt cut from $35 to $27
  • TIF: downgrade: buy to neutral: Goldman: pt cut from $96 to $71
  • FTNT: downgrade: overweight to neutral: Piper Jaffray: pt cut from $50 to $30
  • RDN; downgrade: outperform to neutral: Macquarie: pt cut from $16 to $12

INITIATIONS:

  • MANT: initiated: underperform: Jefferies: $24
  • EGL: initiated: buy: Jefferies: $39
  • BAH: initiated: buy: Jefferies:$36
  • GILD: initiated: outperform: Credit Suisse: $125
  • CHRS: initiated: outperform: Credit Suisse: $25
  • MESO: initiated:outperform: Credit Suisse: $10
  • XNPT: initiated: outperform: Credit Suisse: $4
  • VRTX: initiated: outperform: Credit Suisse: $151
  • AMGN: initiated: outperform: Credit Suisse: $205
  • CELG: initiated: outperform: Credit Suisse: $149
  • INCY: initiated: outperform: Credit Suisse: $110
  • BMRN: initiated: outperform: Credit Suisse: $110
  • PTCT: initiated: outperform:Credit Suisse: $36
  • REGN: initiated: neutral: Credit Suisse: $552

PRICE TARGET CHANGES:

  • MDXG: pt raised from $11 to $14: First Analysis
  • BIN: pt raised from $28 to $30: RBC Capital
  • NFLX: pt raised from $119 to $126: Credit Suisse
  • NFLX: pt raised from $105 to $120: Jefferies
  • NFLX: pt raised from $137 to $141: JP Morgan
  • NFLX: pt raised from $115 to $120: Mizuho
  • NFLX: pt cut from $138 to $125: FBR Capital
  • NFLX: pt cut from $165 to $155: Pivotal Research
  • FEYE: pt cut from $32 to $21: Wunderlich
  • IBM: pt cut from $125 to $110: Credit Suisse
  • WTFC: pt cut from $58 to $50: RBC Capital
  • WFT: pt cut from $11 to $9: RBC Capital
  • SYMC: pt cut from $24 to $23: RBC Capital
  • JNPR: pt cut from $35 to $33: RBC Capital
  • OAS: pt cut from $18 to $12: Topeka Capital
  • TIF: pt cut from $100 to $80: Telsey Advisory
  • MS: pt cut fro $42 to $34: UBS
  • HALO: pt cut from $28 to $22: UBS

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