Monday, January 11, 2016

Earnings Season Takes off | Morning News

JANUARY 11, 2016

US futures follow European markets higher despite the spike down in the Shanghai which closed down 5.32%. With little on the economic calendar, investors await the start of the 2016 earnings season today. Overnight, oil prices fell as oversupply continues to put pressure on the commodity.

NEWS:
  • ACI: files for bankruptcy
  • BXLT: Shire buys Baxalta for $45.57/share in $32B deal
  • AA: gets $1.5 billion supply contract from GE
  • AMZN: NFLX: At 2016 Golden Globes, Amazon Wins Best TV Comedy, But Netflix Goes Home Empty-Handed, reports Forbes
  • AMRN: guides FY16 revenue $105M-120M vs consensus $136.76M
  • KSS: going private rumors surface
  • GCO: cuts FY16 adjusted EPS
  • QTNT: announces planned expansion for intended use of MosaiQ
  • DECK: Barrons out positive on the stock and the new Ugg line
  • SSI: holiday same store sales fall 2.5%
  • AVXL: Anavex's Alzheimer's drug shows encouraging results in mid-state study
  • M: Activist Investor Starboard Urges Macy’s to Strike Real-Estate Deal, reports WSJ
THE ECONOMIC CALENDAR:
  • 10AM: Labor Market Condition Index
  • 12:40PM EST: Atlanta Fed's Lockhart speaks on "The Economic Outlook"
  • 7:50PM EST: Dallas Fed's Kaplan speaks on "Economic Conditions and Monetary Policy"
SOME NOTABLE EARNINGS REPORTED BEFORE THE BELL TODAY:
  • APOL: FQ1 EPS of $0.29 misses by $0.02: revenue of $58602M misses by $24.4M: revenue -18.0% y/y
  • SHLM: FQ1 EPS of $0.50 misses by $0.11: revenue of $649.22M misses by $23.38M: revenue +5.6% y/y
SOME NOTABLE EARNINGS TO BE REPORTED AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:
  • AA, LMNR, TISI, VOXX
ANALYSTS' RATINGS CHANGES:

UPGRADES:
  • MLNX: upgrade: market perform to outperform: Credit Suisse: $50
  • SAFM: upgrade: neutral to overweight: pt raised from $81 to $89: JP Morgan
  • OC: upgrade: sector perform to outperform: RBC Capital: pt raised from $52 to $53
  • AAPL: upgrade: neutral to buy: Mizuho: pt cut from $125 to $120
  • PLCE: upgrade: equal weight to overweight: Morgan Stanley: $89
  • BK: upgrade: neutral to conviction buy: Goldman Sachs
  • GD: upgrade: market perform to outperform: Cowen
  • OKE: upgrade: hold to buy: Argus: $27
DOWNGRADES:
  • AZUR: downgrade: outperform to market perform: FBR Capital: pt cut from $15 to $3.25
  • NGL: downgrade: buy to hold: Wunderlich: pt cut from $24 to $15
  • TDW: downgrade: outperform to market perform: Cowen: pt cut from $20 to $6.50
  • HOS: downgrade: outperform to market perform: Cowen: pt cut from $25 to $8.50
  • ATW: downgrade: outperform to market perform: Cowen: pt cut from $18 to $10
  • UA: downgrade: equal weight to underweight: Morgan Stanley: pt cut from $103 to $62
  • VFC: downgrade: equal weight to underweight: Morgan Stanley
  • JNS: downgrade: buy to neutral: Goldman Sachs: 
  • HSY: downgrade: overweight to neutral: pt cut from $97 to $89: JP Morgan
  • APAM: downgrade: buy to neutral: Goldman Sachs:
  • AEO: downgrade: outperform to market perform: Telsey Advisory: $16
  • CUDA: downgrade: buy to in-line: Imperial Capital: $12
  • GWW: downgrade: equal weight to underweight: Morgan Stanley: $189
  • WSM: downgrade: outperform to neutral: Wedbush: pt cut from $70 to $54
INITIATIONS:

  • ABIL: initiated: outperform: FBR Capital: $15
  • BECN: initiated: neutral: Citigroup: $42
  • CMRE: initiated: equal weight: Barclays: $11
  • TNK: initiated: overweight: Barclays: $10
  • ITW: initiated: equal weight: Barclays: $92
  • FIS: assumed: buy: Citigroup: $68
  • KBH: initiated: neutral: Citigroup: $11

PRICE TARGET CHANGES:
  • AEO: pt raised from $20 to $22: Wolfe Research
  • TMO: pt raised from $150 to $158: Stifel
  • PEG: pt cut from $50 to $45: Argus
  • SYRG: pt cut from $16 to $15: Wunderlich
  • GPS: pt cut from $26 to $23: RBC Capital
  • SVU: pt cut from $9 to $8: RBC Capital
  • HPT: pt cut from $27 to $26: RBC Capital
  • WMS: pt cut from $35 to $30: RBC Capital
  • PSMT: pt cut from $100 to $85: Roth Capital
  • FLML: pt cut from $21 to $17.50: Roth Capital
  • TTMI: pt cut from $11 to $9.50: Stifel
  • ST: pt cut from $54 to $50: Stifel
  • VAC: pt cut from $82 to $70: Stifel
  • GSM: pt cut from $23 to $20: Stifel


Saturday, January 9, 2016

Holiday scorecard: Winners, losers and those in between

SATURDAY, JANUARY 09, 2016

In what was arguably one of the strangest holiday season in recent memory – for a variety of reasons – retailers have reported a variety of results ranging from impressive to outright awful.
A strange mix of crosscurrents made the recently ended holiday season made for one of the most unusual and challenging selling environments in recent memory. Exceptionally low gas prices had a muted impact as did a job market that was seemingly improved but characterized by a lack of wage growth. While retailers were coping with factors affecting consumers ability to spend, they were also dealing with the an always intensely competitive time of year made even more so by the forces of e-commerce coupled with increased expense pressures associated with executing complex omnichannel sales and fulfillment strategies.
The first week of the New Year saw a wide range of companies disclose what proved to be a real mixed bag of results for the holiday season. A handful of others reported third quarter results that included the early part of the season. Here’s a look at how they fared in no particular order:
Macy’s: Yikes! November and December same store sales at Macy’s declined 4.7%, much worse than what was already disappointing guidance that called for a 2% to 3% decline. The weak topline prompted the company to lower its profit outlook, disclose the locations of 40 previously announced store closures and lay off thousands in stores and at headquarters. One bright spot was online, where the company said it achieved 25% growth and filled nearly 17 million orders. Chairman and CEO Terry Lundgren said the company was particularly disadvantage by the warm weather. “About 80% of our company's year-over-year declines in comparable sales can be attributed to shortfalls in cold-weather goods such as coats, sweaters, boots, hats, gloves and scarves,” Lundgren said. “We also continued to feel the impact of lower spending by international tourists as the value of the dollar remained strong.”
J.C. Penney: What warm weather? J.C. Penney produced a 3.9% same stores sales increase in November and December, putting it on a trajectory to achieve its full year forecast of comps in the 4% to 5% range after reporting inreases of 3.4%, 4.1% and 6.4% in the first, second and third quarters. CEO Marvin Ellison did say warm weather negatively affected apparel sales, but touted the company’s success with private brands, compelling gift offerings and solid omnichannel execution with orders place online shipped from 250 stores. “I am especially pleased with the accelerated comp sales improvement from November to December, including record online sales for the company during the holiday season,” Ellison said.
Hhgregg: No weather excuses here. This operator of 227 stores said same store sales for its third quarter ended Dec. 31 declined 11%. The decline was most pronounced in the computer and tablet category where comps declined an estimated 35%, followed by a 10% decline in appliances, an 8% decline in consumer electronics and a 3% increase in home products. CEO Dennis May said, “we were challenged by the competitive pressures in the market.”
Conn’s: A 13.9% same store sales increase in the furniture and mattress category, wasn’t enough to offset weakness in electronics, home office and other categories, resulting in an overall comp decline of 5.9% for the period ended Dec. 31. “Excluding the impact of our decision to exit video game products, digital cameras, and certain tablets, same store sales for December increased 1.8%,” said Conn’s CEO Norm Miller.
American Eagle Outfitters: Fourth quarter same store sales to date increased 4% at American Eagle, the company said in press release on Jan. 8 that affirmed its profit forecast. CEO Jay Schottenstein said the company had a solid holiday season despite a very challenging environment. “The online business was particularly strong, and we leveraged our omnichannel tools to deliver an improved customer experience,” Schottenstein said.
Gordmans: This operator of 102 discount department stores played the weather card in explaining why its 1.9% same store sales decline in November and December was worse than expected. President and CEO Andy Hall said, “Following a positive start to the fourth quarter, sales declined in December as unfavorably warm weather throughout our upper Midwest foot print negatively impacted pre-Christmas store traffic. Full fourth quarter sales are expected to decline between 1% and 1.5% versus an earlier forecast that had comps ranging from flat to up 2%.
Finish Line: After weathering a disastrous third quarter, this operator of more than 1,000 predominantly mall-based athletic footwear and apparel stores said it expects same store sales to increase in the low to mid single digit range in the fourth quarter ending Feb. 27. Comps declined 5.8% in the third quarter ended Nov. 28, largely due to supply chain issues cause by the implementation of a new warehouse and order management system. The problems have been resolved, according to Chairman and CEO Glenn Lyon.
Bed Bath & Beyond: This leading home goods hinted of holiday challenges ahead when it preannounced weak sales and profit estimates on Dec. 22, for its third quarter that ended November 28. Sure enough, comps during the period, which included most of Thanksgiving weekend, were essentially flat, on a constant currency basis, with a decline in stores offset by online growth. The company said expects it fourth quarter comps to be flat to up 2%.
Gap Inc.: Total sales for the five weeks ended Jan. 2 fell 3% on a constant currency basis and same store sales fell 5%. Comps declined 9% at Banana Republic, 7% at Old Navy and 2% at Gap.
Container Store: This operator of 77 stores revealed that it expects fourth quarter same store sales to decline between 3% and 5% when it announced ddddor the third quarter ended Nov. 28 on Jan. 8. Third quarter comps increased 0.5%, but the introduction of free shipping in April on orders of more than $75 dinged profits.
Costco: The nation’s leading membership warehouse club had an okay holiday season with same store sales at U.S. clubs up 4%, excluding the impact of gasoline sales.
Five Below: Things were looking up at Five Below during the nine week period ended Jan. 2. Same store sales increased 4.1%, which prompted CEO Joel Anderson to say, “We are very pleased with our strong performance across both new and existing stores during the all-important holiday season which illustrates the broad appeal and value proposition of Five Below.” Exciting and cohesive marketing improved brand awareness of Five Below’s.
Children’s Place: This operator of nearly 1,100 stores blew away its sales expectations for the holiday season with same store sales up 7.3% for the first nine weeks of its fourth quarter, far better than guidance that called for a low single digit increase and a prior year gain of 7.3%. The strong results prompted CEO Jane Elfers to comment, “We have consistently stated that our multi-pronged transformation strategy would begin to deliver results in the back half of 2015 and our announcement today clearly indicates that we are on track.”
Toys “R” Us: Toys “R” Us produced surprisingly strong results, especially online, despite operating in what is arguably the most competitive of all holiday categories. Same store sales at domestic stores increased 2.9% while internationally comps increased 5.1%, on a constant currency basis, during the five week period ended Jan. 2. The company said it enjoyed particular strength in online sales, but did not disclose a percentage growth rate, with core toy, learning and seasonal categories generating the strongest growth. “Our positive holiday same store sales results demonstrate our ability to execute our holiday plan in a highly competitive marketplace,” said Toys “R” Us CEO Dave Brandon. “We successfully maintained a strong in-stock position on the hottest toys while offering customers competitive prices and an extensive merchandise assortment, both in stores and online.”
Barnes & Noble: The operator of 640 stores and BN.com said its “core” same store sales for the nine-week holiday period ended Jan. 2, increased 1.6% on top of a prior year increase of 1.7%. Retail sales, which include Barnes & Noble stores and BN.com, declined 0.8% to $1.1 billion. Sales of the company’s NOOK products declined 25.8% to $41.2 million which caused total company same store sales to increase 0.6%. CEO Ron Boire said the company was pleased with the performance of its bookstores, adding, “We were also encouraged by the improved performance of BN.com during December, as the site remained stable and traffic improved through the holiday period.”
Fred’s: This Memphis-based operator of 659 discount stores – 376 with a pharmacy – said same store sales for December increased 2.4%, however that was on top of prior year decline of 1.4%. Commenting on the December results, CEO Jerry Shore said he was pleased and attributed the growth to holiday season merchandising initiatives and the specialty pharmacy business. Strength in the general merchandise and holiday gift-giving areas were offset by weakness in the retail pharmacy business due to the low incidence of cold and flu activity.
Tandy Leather Factory: December was a good month for leather. Tandy Leather Factory CEO Jon Thompson said the company set a new monthly record with sales of $9.1 million and, importantly, it did so without sacrificing margin to cap off what had been a challenging year. Same store sales at the company’s 82 retail leathercraft stores increased 3%.
Stein Mart: This operator of 278 off-price department stores said its same stores sales increased 1.8% during the five week period ended Jan. 2, on top of a prior year increase of 5.8%.
The Buckle: Things were pretty quiet for this operator of 469 mall-based apparel, footwear and accessories stores. Same store sales declined 5.4%.
Signet Jewelers: The world’s largest retailer of diamond jewelry, with banners such as Kay, Jared and Zale, got even bigger during the eight weeks ended Dec. 26. Total same store sales increased 4.9% on top of a prior year increase of 3.6%, giving the company confidence that it would achieve the upper end of its profit forecast. CEO Mark Light said, “Signet delivered excellent holiday sales as a result of the successful execution of our product, marketing, and omnichannel selling strategies, as well as our superior customer experience.”
Reported by Chain Store Age, link here

Friday, January 8, 2016

Jobs Data in Focus | Morning News

JANUARY 08, 2016
US futures green but well off their highs as global markets swing into rebound mode, led by strong gains from the battered Chinese market after Beijing suspended its controversial market circuit breaker and set a firmer yuan midpoint rate for the first time in nine days. The Shanghai Composite closed up almost 2% although down 10% for the week. Investors turn their attention to key economic data due out at 8:30AM EST which includes unemployment rate and non-farm payroll numbers. Overnight, crude staged a modest rebound as traders look to the Baker-Hughes rig count at 1PM EST. 

NEWS:
  • AAPL: Apple iPhone 6s/6s plus expected to see on-year decline in 1Q16, reports digitimes
  • QRVO: slashes FQ3 revenue guidance from $720M-$730M to $620M vs consensus of $723.7M
  • CRUS: cuts FQ3 revenue guidance from $370M-$400M to $347M vs consensus of $386M
  • SUNE: files to sell 43.8M shares for stockholders
  • FIVE: announces sales increased 24% y/y to $286.1M during the holiday period
THE ECONOMIC CALENDAR:
  • 8:30AM: Non-farm Payrolls
  • 8:30AM: Unemployment Rate
  • 8:30AM: Average Hourly Earnings 
  • 10AM: Wholesale Trade
  • 11:30AM: Fed's Williams speaks on "Economic Outlook"
  • 1PM: Fed's Lacker speaks on "Economic Outlook"
  • 1PM: Baker-Hughes Rig Count
  • 3PM: Consumer Credit
SOME NOTABLE EARNINGS REPORTED YESTERDAY AFTER THE CLOSE:

  • PSMT: FQ1 EPS of $0.78 misses by $0.05: revenue of $711.93M misses by $4.89M: revenue +8.5% y/y
  • HELE:FQ3 EPS of $2.07 beats by $0.14: revenue of $445.5M (+2.3% Y/Y) beats by $4.89M: revenue +2.3% y/y
  • SNX: FQ4 EPS of $1.80 beats by $0.04: revenue of $3.55B (-7.1% Y/Y) misses by $50M: revenue -7.1% y/y: weak guidance
  • ANGO: FQ2 EPS of $0.14 in-line: revenue of $89.2M beats by $0.53M: revenue -3.2% y/y: lowers guidance but remains within consensus 
  • BBBY: FQ3 EPS of $1.09 in-line: revenue of $2.95B misses by $20M: revenue +0.3% y/y: guides in-line
  • CUDA: FQ3 EPS of $0.07 misses by $0.01: revenue of $80.1M misses by $0.19M: revenue +13.8% y/y: guides revenue below consensus
  • TCS: FQ3 EPS of -$0.04 misses by $0.09: revenue of $197.25M misses by $2.4M: revenue +3.3% y/y: soft guidance

ANALYSTS' RATINGS CHANGES:

UPGRADES:
  • ITC: upgrade: hold to buy: Wunderlich: pt raised from $34 to $45
  • SEE: upgrade: equal weight to overweight: Barclays: $51
  • PKG: upgrade: equal weight to overweight: Barclays: pt raised from $67 to $75
  • BMS: upgrade: underweight to equal weight; Barclays: $45
  • DD: upgrade: market perform to outperform: Bernstein: $81
  • STI: upgrade: market perform to outperform: Bernstein
  • CERN: upgrade: outperform to Top Pick: RBC Capital: $75
  • FTI: upgrade: hold to buy: Societe Generale
  • NE: upgrade: hold to buy: Societe Generale
  • GPN: upgrade: neutral to buy: SunTrust: pt raised from $70 to $75
  • CI: upgrade: hold to buy: Jefferies: $184
  • SPB: upgrade: hold to buy: Jefferies: $134
  • BYD: upgrade: neutral to overweight; JP Morgan: pt raised from $20 to $22
DOWNGRADES:
  • UTX: downgrade: outperform to market perform: Bernstein: pt cut from $116 to $104
  • AET: downgrade: buy to hold: Jefferies: $122
  • INVN: downgrade: buy to neutral: Rosenblatt
  • WRK: downgrade: overweight to equal weight: Barclays: pt cut from $70 to $50
  • VRTV: downgrade: overweight to underweight: Barclays (double downgrade)
  • IP: downgrade: overweight to equal weight: Barclays: pt cut from $57 to $42
  • FNSR: downgrade: overweight to equal weight: Barclays: pt cut from $18 to $17
  • LITE: downgrade: equal weight to underweight: Barclays: $19
  • KEYS: downgrade: outperform to neutral: Baird: pt cut from $35 to $29
  • TCS: downgrade: overweight to neutral: JP Morgan
  • MOS: downgrade: outperform to market perform: BMO Capital
  • CUDA: downgrade: outperform to market perform: William Blair
  • CUDA: downgrade: buy to hold: Summit Research: $15
  • CUDA: downgrade: outperform to market perform: JMP Securities
  • CUDA: downgrade: buy to neutral: BTIG: 
  • CYH: downgrade: outperform to neutral: Wedbush
  • SAM: downgrade: buy to hold: Jefferies:
  • WSM: downgrade: buy to neutral: Buckingham
INITIATIONS:
  • MSFT: initiated: outperform: BMO Capital: $64
  • RHT: initiated: outperform: BMO Capital: $97
  • SAP: initiated: market perform: BMO Capital: $84
  • ORCL: initiated: market perform: BMO Capital: $42
  • ARC: initiated: buy: B Riley: $8
  • AMGN: initiated: sell: BTIG: $135
PRICE TARGET CHANGES:
  • NTES: pt raised from $162.20 to $221: Deutsche Bank
  • CRL: pt raised from $83 to $93: SunTrust
  • CUDA: pt cut from $30 to $19: JP Morgan
  • CUDA: pt cut from $32 to $26: Stifel
  • CUDA: pt cut from $42 to $26: Topeka Capital
  • DUK: pt cut from $85 to $81: Argus
  • IBM: pt cut from $160 to $155: Stifel
  • CRUS: pt cut from $45 to $38: Stifel
  • CBS: pt cut from $45 to $38: Stifel
  • QDEL: pt cut from $30 to $22: Piper Jaffray
  • KBH: pt cut from $16 to $11.50: FBR Capital
  • SVU: pt cut from $11 to $10: Telsey Advisory
  • BBBY: pt cut from $52 to $50: Telsey Advisory
  • AAPL: pt cut from $130 to $125: Cowen
  • QRVO: pt cut from $65 to $50: Mizuho
  • QRVO: pt cut from $75 to $55: Northland
  • NFLX: pt cut from $175 to $165: Pivotal Research Group
  • CMG: pt cut from $480 to $400: Deutsche Bank
  • SUNE: pt cut from $18 to $7.50: Oppenheimer



Thursday, January 7, 2016

World Market Meltdown | Morning News

JANUARY 07, 2016

US futures plunge as world markets get hit hard after the Shanghai halted trading for the second time within a week. Although still weak, crude flirted with $32 overnight before finding support.

NEWS:
  • PSDV: announces planning a public offering of shares
  • ABBV: AbbVie's NDA for Viekira Pak granted priority review by FDA
  • QURE: issues preliminary top-line data from AMT-060 hemophilia B phase I/II
  • ATML: Microchip reportedly having second thoughts about buying Atmel
  • TXMD: prices its $125M public offering at $8.25
  • AMZN: AAPL: P: GOOGL: GOOG: Streaming music in US up 93% in 2015, reports Reuters
  • ZUMZ: guides revenue of $237M to $239M vs consensus of  $230M and EPS of $0.45 to $0.47 v consensus $0.43 
THE ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

  • Various Times: Chain Store Sales
  • 7:30AM: Challenger Job Cut Report
  • 8:30AM: Gallup Good Jobs
  • 8:30AM: Weekly Jobless Claims
  • 9:45AM: Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
  • 10:30AM: EIA Natural Gas Inventory
  • 2:15PM: Fed's Evan Speaks on "US Economy"
  • 4:30PM: Money Supply and Fed Balance Sheet

SOME NOTABLE EARNINGS REPORTED BEFORE THE OPENING TODAY:

  • WBA: FQ1 EPS of $1.03 beats by $0.07: revenue of $29.03B misses by $210M: revenue +48.5% y/y
  • FINL: FQ3 EPS of -$0.49 misses by $0.45: revenue of $382.09M misses by $25.83M: revenue -3.5% y/y
  • GBX: FQ1 EPS of $2.15 beats by $0.52: revenue of $802.39M beats by $43.58M: revenue +62.1% y/y
  • KBH: FQ4 EPS of $0.43 misses by $0.07: revenue of $985.78M misses by $84.22M: revenue +23.8% y/y

SOME NOTABLE EARNINGS TO BE REPORTED TODAY AFTER THE CLOSE:
  • ANGO, BBBY, CUDA, HELE, PSMT, RT, SNX, TCS
ANALYSTS' RATINGS CHANGES:

UPGRADES:

  • CERN: upgrade: outperform to top pick: RBC Capital: pt raised from $70 to $75
  • CHRW: upgrade: sector perform to outperform: RBC Capital: pt raised from $72 to $75
  • MDRX: upgrade: sector perform to outperform: RBC Capital: pt raised from $14 to $19
  • NDSN: upgrade: hold to buy: Wunderlich: $75
  • LUV: upgrade: underweight to equal weight: Morgan Stanley: $51
  • OLN: upgrade: neutral to buy: Nomura:
  • CMA: upgrade: neutral to outperform: Baird: $46
  • HST: upgrade: neutral to outperform: Baird: pt cut from $21 to $20
  • KRC: upgrade: neutral to outperform: Baird: $72
  • SLG: upgrade: neutral to outperform: Baird: $132
  • SHO: upgrade: neutral to outperform: Baird: pt cut from $18 to $17
  • AAL: upgrade: neutral to outperform: Credit Suisse: pt raised from $52 to $57
  • WFC: upgrade: neutral to buy: Citi
  • MKC: upgrade: hold to buy: Deutsche Bank
  • DFS: upgrade: hold to buy: Deutsche Bank: pt raised from $61 to $64
  • PSA: upgrade: neutral to outperform: Baird: pt raised from $256 to $272

DOWNGRADES:

  • SWFT: downgrade: outperform to sector perform: RBC Capital: pt cut from $21 to $14
  • R: downgrade: top pick to sector perform: RBC Capital: pt cut from $89 to $58 (that's a double downgrade)
  • SAIA: downgrade: overweight to equal weight: Stephens: pt cut from $30 to $24
  • PPS: downgrade: outperform to market perform: Raymond James
  • PSA: downgrade: outperform to market perform: Raymond James
  • NNN: downgrade: outperform to market perform: Raymond James: 
  • EXPD: downgrade: outperform to sector perform: RBC Capital: pt cut from $56 to $48
  • ODFL: downgrade: outperform to sector perform: RBC Capital: pt cut from $75 to $60
  • NEM: downgrade: outperform to sector perform: RBC Capital: pt cut from $26 to $20
  • ALK: downgrade: outperform to neutral: Credit Suisse: $90
  • JWN: downgrade: equal weight to underweight: Morgan Stanley: $45
  • APC: downgrade: buy to hold: Deutsche Bank: $60
  • GWR: downgrade: outperform to sector perform: RBC Capital: $55
  • COF: downgrade: buy to hold: Deutsche Bank: $81


INITIATIONS:

  • DEPO: initiated: neutral: Mizuho: $19
  • CCP: initiated: neutral: Mizuho: $32
  • BABA: initiated: outperform: Baird: $94
  • PAYC: initiated: outperform: Baird: $48
  • PCTY: initiated: outperform: Baird: $44
  • SHOP: initiated: outperform: Baird: $31
  • W: initiated: neutral: Baird: $50
  • GTT: initiated: overweight: Stephens: $28


PRICE TARGET CHANGES:

  • ISRG: pt raised from $565 to $610: RBC Capital
  • QSII: pt raised from $14 to $16: RBC Capital
  • FB: pt raised from $120 to $130: Cantor
  • GOOGL: GOOG: pt raised from $820 to $880 at Cantor
  • LNKD: pt raise from $285 to $300: Cantor
  • VCRA: pt raised from $16 to $18: Topeka Capital
  • ZUMZ: pt raised from $13 to $16: Mizuho
  • AAPL: pt cut from $140 to $130: RBC Capital
  • ESV: pt cut from $15 to $13: Cowen
  • FIT: pt cut from $81 to $49: Leerink
  • TLOG: pt cut from $5 to $1: Roth Capital
  • VRX: pt cut from $130 to $112: Mizuho
  • CMG: pt cut from $425 to $375: Stephens
  • CMG: pt cut from $480 to $400: Deutsche Bank
  • CMG: pt cut from $555 to $448: Telsey Advisory
  • CMG: pt cut from $500 to $450: Wedbush
  • EAT: pt cut from $60 to $56: Maxim Group
  • RRGB: pt cut from $98 to $90: Maxim Group


Wednesday, January 6, 2016

Oil, China, North Korea triple threat | Morning News

JANUARY 06, 2016

US futures spike lower as global markets take another plunge after China permitted the yuan to weaken further (Shanghai +2.26%)  and a nuclear test by North Korea added to geopolitical tensions. To add fuel to the fire, crude fell to a new 11 year low as increasing global oversupply outweighs Middle East worries. Gold, as a safe haven, rose by $7/ounce while the 10 year Treasury yield is trading lower by 5bbs to 2.19%

NEWS:

  • INTC: Intel Says Its Button-Sized Curie Will Ship In Q1, Costing Under $10, reports TechCrunch
  • AAPL: Apple cuts iPhone 6S and 6S Plus production, reports The Guardian
  • PXD: 12M shares spot secondary priced at $117
  • MNKD: Sanofi has announced the termination of its license for Afrezza with Mankind and returned the rights to the product

THE ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

  • 7AM: MBA Mortgage Applications
  • 8:15AM: ADP Jobs Report
  • 8:30AM: International Trade
  • 8:30AM: Gallup US Job Creation Index
  • 9:45AM: PMI Services Index
  • 10AM: Factory Orders
  • 10AM: ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
  • 10:30AM: EIA Petroleum Inventories
  • 2PM: FOMC Minutes
EARNINGS REPORTED BEFORE THE OPENING TODAY:

  • RPM: FQ2 EPS of $0.62 beats by $0.05: revenue of $1.16 in-line: revenue +8.4 y/y
  • MSM: FQ1 EPS of $0.89 beats by $0.02: revenue of $706.82M misses by $1.91M: revenue -3.3% y/y

ANALYSTS' RATINGS CHANGES:

UPGRADES:

  • XLY: upgrade: sector perform to outperform: RBC Capital: pt raised from $27 to $42
  • LMT: upgrade; sector perform to outperform: RBC Capital: pt raised from $220 to $250
  • RES: upgrade: market perform to outperform: FBR Capital: pt raised from $11 to $15
  • RLGY: upgrade: underperform to neutral: Credit Suisse: pt cut from $39 to $36
  • WBA: upgrade: hold to buy: Evercore: $94.50
  • RES: upgrade: market perform to outperform: FBR Capital: pt raised from $11 to $15
  • WPG: upgrade: neutral to buy: Goldman: $13.50
  • ORCL: upgrade: hold to buy: Evercore: $44
  • BCRX: upgrade: hold to buy: Jefferies: pt raised from $10 to $14
  • IRBT: upgrade: underweight to neutral: JP Morgan
  • TASR: upgrade: neutral to overweight: JP Morgan: $25
  • PAYC: upgrade: equal weight to overweight: Barclays: $44
  • TFX: upgrade: outperform to strong buy: Raymond James: $150
  • SKYW: upgrade: market perform to outperform: Raymond James


DOWNGRADES:

  • WCC: downgrade: outperform to sector perform: RBC Capital: pt cut from $53 to $50
  • TYC: downgrade: outperform to sector perform: RBC Capital: pt cut from $41 to $34
  • TDC: downgrade: equal weight to underweight: Barclays: pt cut from $28 to $23
  • SWHC: downgrade: outperform to neutral: Wedbush: $26
  • MASI: downgrade: strong buy to outperform: Raymond James: pt cut from $50 to $46
  • RAD: downgrade: buy to hold: Evercore: $9
  • BDX: downgrade: buy to hold: Evercore: $160
  • CHH: downgrade: neutral to underweight: JP Morgan: pt cut from $50 to $43
  • CBL: downgrade: buy to neutral: Goldman
  • H: downgrade: overweight to neutral: JP Morgan: pt cut from $62 to $50
  • VNR: downgrade: overweight to neutral: JP Morgan: pt cut from $10 to $5
  • KPTI: downgrade: buy to hold: Jefferies
  • HCA: downgrade: outperform to market perform: Longbow: $74
  • MGLN: downgrade: equal weight to underweight: Barclays: $61
  • DWRE; downgrade: overweight to equal weight: Barclays: pt cut from $70 to $57
  • WDAY: downgrade: overweight to equal weight: Barclays: pt cut from $84 to $80
  • CHKP: downgrade: equal weight to underweight: Barclays: pt cut from $91 to $83
  • HCP: downgrade: equal weight to underweight: Barclays: pt cut from $40 to $37
  • QLIK: downgrade: overweight to sector weight: Pacific Crest: 


INITIATIONS:

  • ANET: initiated: neutral: UBS: $85
  • DPLO: initiated: overweight: Barclays: $41
  • EW: initiated: outperform: JMP Securities
  • NVDQ: initiated: outperform: JMP Securities


PRICE TARGET CHANGES:

  • MSFT: pt raised from $57 to $65: RBC Capital
  • BIN: pt raised from $27 to $28: RBC Capital
  • BIIB: pt raised from $318 to $357: Jefferies
  • BMRN; pt cut from $168 to $118: Piper Jaffray
  • AMC: pt cut from $27 to $26: Topeka Capital
  • FIT: pt cut from $45 to $40: RBC Capital
  • MNKD: pt cut from $1 to $0.15: RBC Capital
  • OMED: pt cut from $45 to $40: Mizuho
  • PXD: pt cut from $152 to $150: RBC Capital
  • SGY: pt cut from $8 to $6: Imperial Capital
  • WDR: pt cut from $49 to $44: RBC Capital

Tuesday, January 5, 2016

The Bears Take A Stand | Morning News

JANUARY 05, 2016

US futures pointing to a lower opening at this 8AM hour. Despite a strong rally into yesterday's close and  positive global trading overnight, US futures, Asia and most European markets wavered before falling into the red within the last few hours. Crude also reversed it early gains as oversupply concerns outweighed the Middle East tensions.

NEWS:
  • AAPL: Apple on verge of major retail push into Latin America, first stores to open in Mexico City, reports AppleInsider
  • NFLX: DWA: Netlfix and DreamWorks animation expand global relationship, reports nasdaq
  • AMZN: Sellers on Amazon cap off big year with more than 40% growth on cyber monday, reports The Street
  • GILD: Announces top-line results from 2 phase 3 studies evaluating TAF for patients with chronic hep B infection 
  • JEC: Biogen announces EPCM service contract to Jacobs Engineering
  • LLY: guides below consensus for FY16
  • ZTS: Zoetis sells India based manufacturing site in $29M deal
THE ECONOMIC CALENDAR:
  • various times: Auto Sales
  • 8:30AM: Gallup US ECI
  • 8:55AM: Redbook Chain Store Sales
ANALYSTS' RATINGS CHANGES:

UPGRADES:
  • SLGN: upgrade: neutral to outperform: Barid: pt raised from $55 to $60
  • BHI: upgrade: sector weight to overweight: KeyBanc: 
  • HAL: upgrade: sector weight to overweight: KeyBanc
  • JNPR: upgrade: hold to buy: Deutsche Bank: $32 (NOTE: downgrades at Bernstein and Oppenheimer)
  • IPHI: upgrade: market perform to outperform: Northland: $31
  • AGU: upgrade: sell to neutral: Citi:
  • CE: upgrade: neutral to buy: Citi:
  • EMN: upgrade: neutral to buy: Citi: pt cut from $79 to $75
  • SPR: upgrade: market perform to outperform: Bernstein
  • WWW: upgrade: underperform to neutral: Sterne Agee
  • FMS: upgrade: neutral to overweight: JP Morgan
  • FLIR: upgrade: outperform to strong buy: Raymond James: $2
DOWNGRADES:
  • ATR: downgrade: outperform to neutral: Baird: $80
  • APA: downgrade: neutral to underperform: BofA/Merrill: $54
  • JWN: downgrade: buy to neutral: Citi
  • DIS: downgrade: outperform to neutral: Macquarie
  • APD: downgrade: buy to neutral: Citi
  • DD: downgrade: buy to neutral: Citi
  • JNPR: downgrade: outperform to market perform: Bernstein: pt cut from $35 to $31
  • JNPR: downgrade: outperform to perform: Oppenheimer (NOTE: upgrade at Deutsche Bank)
  • MSI: downgrade: outperform to market perform: Bernstein: $75
  • TSN: downgrade: outperform to sector perform: RBC Capital: $53
  • VRSN: downgrade: neutral to sell: Citi
  • PFG: downgrade: neutral to sell: Citi: pt cut from $55 to $41
  • MET: downgrade: buy to neutral: Citi: $51
  • BBW: downgrade: outperform to market perform: BMO Capital
  • NOV: downgrade: overweight to sector weight: KeyBanc
  • CJES: downgrade: overweight to sector weight: KeyBanc
  • GPS: downgrade: outperform to market perform: FBC Capital: $26
  • FFIV: downgrade: outperform to perform: Oppenheimer:
  • SPWR: downgrade: buy to neutral: Goldmn: $35
INITIATIONS:
  • BIOA: initiated: buy: Rodman & Renshaw: $18
  • FDP: initiated: buy: Wunderlich: $45
  • ORBK: initiated: outperform: Cowen: $30
  • SHW: initiated: accumulate: Seaport Global: $295
  • PPG: initiated: accumulate: Seaport Global: $115
  • AXTA: initiated: accumulate: Seaport Global: $31
  • RPM: initiated: accumulate: Seaport Global: $48
  • PB: initiated: underperform: JP Morgan: $49
  • IVAC: initiated: buy: Roth Capital: $8.50
PRICE TARGET CHANGES:
  • MDRX: pt raised from $14 to $15: Topeka Capital
  • NVDA: pt raised from $33 to $38: JMP Securities
  • GIG: pt raised from $4 to $5: Roth Capital
  • NLS: pt raised from $22 to $24: Wunderlich
  • NX: pt raised from $23 to $25: Imperial Capital
  • SWHC: pt raised from $25 to $29: Wunderlich
  • CHK: pt cut from $13 to $7: Wunderlich
  • CPTA: pt cut from $20 to $16: Wunderlich
  • CRTO: pt cut from $65 to $58: Pacific Crest
  • WWW: pt cut from $18 to $16: Piper Jaffray

Monday, January 4, 2016

China in focus | Morning News


JANUARY 04, 2016

US futures spike lower after the Shanghai halts trading as stocks plunge 6.9% on weak PMI data. Adding fuel to the bear flames, overnight, Iran cuts diplomatic ties with Saudi Arabia after 47 prisoners including a prominent Shi'ite cleric were executed in Saudi Arabia. Bahrain jumps on the bandwagon and announced this morning that it was also severing diplomatic ties with Iran. Meanwhile, crude gives back some of its overnight gain but still trading higher this morning on the rise in Middle East tensions.


NEWS:
  • VRX: Pershing Square cuts stake from 9.9% to 8.5%, reports nasdaq
  • V: AXP: Fidelity switches to Visa from American Express for Credit Card Branding, reports NYT
  • TSLA: Tesla Hits Low End of Goal, Shipping 17,400 Autos in Q4, reports Bloomberg
  • HZNP: receives Notice of Allowance from USPTO for Ravicti 
  • LGND: GILD: Ligand enters supply agreement with Gilead for Captisol 
  • NFLX: Netflix rumored to be preparing to enter Russia
  • DIS: "Star Wars" poised to pass "Avatar" at the box office
  • USO: Saudi Arabia cuts diplomatic ties with Iran over the execution of 47 prisoners which included a prominent Shi'ite cleric
IN BARRONS OVER THE WEEKEND:
  • CCL: RCL: NCLH: Cruise Industry’s Big Three Could Steam to 20% Gains in 2016. reports Jack Hough
  • MAT: Mattel has 20% upside, yield 5%
  • AMZN: MSFT: ORCL:CSCO: 2016 will be all about the cloud, reports Tiernan Ray
  • P: Pandora Stock Could Fall 20% or More, reports Alexander Eule
  • DDD: Still bearish on 3D Systems. Shares could fall to $3
THE ECONOMIC CALENDAR:
  • 9:45AM: PMI Manufacturing Index
  • 10AM: ISM Manufacturing Index
  • 10AM: Construction Spending
  • 12:30PM: TD Ameritrade IMX
  • 2PM: Gallup US Consumer Spending Measure
ANALYSTS' RATINGS CHANGES:

UPGRADES:
  • REG: upgrade: outperform to top pick: RBC Capital: $78
  • ISRG: upgrade: equal weight to overweight: Morgan Stanley: pt raised from $500 to $650
  • BKH: upgrade: sector perform to outperform: RBC Capital: pt raised from $52 to $55
  • MCD: upgrade: hold to buy: Nomura: pt raised from $112 to $138
  • WERN: upgrade: hold to buy: Stifel: $30
  • WEN: upgrade: neutral to buy: Normura: pt raised from $11 to $12.50
  • LULU: upgrade: hold to buy: Jefferies: $70
DOWNGRADES:
  • BXP: downgrade: top pick to outperform: RBC Capital: $155
  • PYPL; downgrade: neutral to sell: Monness Crespi: $32
  • AMZN: downgrade: buy to neutral: Monness Crespi: 
  • GME: downgrade: buy to neutral: Sterne Agee
  • ABT: downgrade: overweight to equal weight: $50
  • BDX: downgrade: overweight to equal weight: Morgan Stanley: $170
  • PCAR: downgrade: outperform to neutral: Baird: pt cut from $85 to $55
  • ALSN: downgrade: outperform to neutral: Baird: pt cut from $35 to $28
  • NFLX: downgrade: outperform to neutral: Baird: $115
  • SRI: downgrade: overweight to equal weight: Stephens: pt raised from $15 to $16
  • CHKP: downgrade: outperform to market perform: Wells Fargo: $87.50
  • GBX: downgrade; overweigh to equal weight: Stephens: pt cut from $50 to $37
  • CMG: downgrade: outperform to perform: Oppenheimer: 
  • VFC: downgrade: buy to neutral: B Riley: pt cut from $73 to $66
  • DWA: downgrade: buy to neutral: B Riley: $27
  • DECK: downgrade: buy to neutral: B Riley
  • CL: downgrade: outperform to sector perform: RBC Capital: $71
  • LG: downgrade: outperform to sector perform: pt raised from $57 to $63
  • FOSL: downgrade: buy to hold: Jefferies: pt cut from $68 to $40
INITIATIONS:
  • PLNT: initiated: buy : Roth Capital: $18
  • FEYE: initiated: buy: Summit Research: $35
  • TEAM: initiated: buy: UBS: $36
  • ELY: initiated: buy: Ladenburg: $13
  • XOXO: initiated: buy: Axiom Capital: $21
  • BEL: initiated: underperform: Telsey Advisory: 
  • WYN: initiated: outperform: Telsey Advisory: $97
  • HLT: initiated: outperform: Telsey Advisory:
PRICE TARGET CHANGES:
  • PNRA: pt raised from $210 to $215: Maxim Group
  • LXFT: pt raised from $81 to $84: Monness Crespi
  • AMC: pt cut from $40 to $30: Stifel
  • CNK: pt cut from $40 to $34: Stifel
  • CMG: pt cut from $495 to $435: Maxim Group
  • FINL: pt cut from $33 to $24: Susquehanna
  • CHSP: pt cut from $32 to $30: RBC Capital
  • HT: pt cut from $28 to $26: RBC Capital
  • LHO: pt cut from $34 to $32: RBC Capital
  • PEB: pt cut from $42 to $38: RBC Capital
  • RLJ: pt cut from $32 to $29: RBC Capital
  • INN: pt cut from $16 to $15: RBC Capital